Latest estimates from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show very modest growth for the construction industry, with a strong suggestion of uncertainty about what is actually happening.
The ONS estimates that total construction output in Great Britain grew by 0.2% in September but has now revised both its previous August estimate and, for a second time, its July estimate.
A month ago August output was reckoned to have decreased by 0.3%, compared to July; this has now been revised downwards to a 0.5% fall. July’s output had originally been estimated as being up 0.2%, was later downgraded to zero and has now been revised again, back to 0.2% growth.
The upshot is that across the third quarter (Q3) of 2025, the ONS currently estimates that total construction output grew by 0.1% compared to Q2. New work decreased by 0.2% during Q3, while repair & maintenance grew by 0.6%.
At sector level, four out of the nine sectors grew in Q3; the main positive contributor to the increase was private housing repair & maintenance, which grew by 2.9%; the main negative contributor was private new housing, which fell by 1.9%.
The increase in monthly output in September 2025 came solely from an increase in new work (0.7%), as repair & maintenance decreased by 0.5% on the month.
Total construction new orders grew by 9.8% (£1,078m) in Q3 compared with Q2, the ONS says. This quarterly increase came mainly from private commercial new work and private industrial new work.
鶹 does at least appear to be outperforming the wider economy. According to the ONS, grow domestic product (GDP) fell by 0.1% in September, following no growth in August 2025 (revised down from 0.1% growth a month ago) and a fall of 0.1% in July 2025.
However, GDP is estimated to have increased by 0.1% in Q3 2025, compared to Q2 (the same as construction), and by 1.3% compared to the same quarter a year ago.
Commenting on the latest construction estimates, Clive Docwra, managing director of property and construction consultancy McBains, said: “Today’s figures will at least provide some degree of comfort ahead of what many expect to be a difficult winter for the construction industry.
“However, it’s still a mixed bag – while we welcome new work increasing by 0.7% in September and the private commercial sector witnessing growth over the month, performance over the last quarter as a whole remains sluggish, with new orders falling by 0.2% and private housing by a worrying 1.9%. It’s clear that underlying concerns from investors over the economy are still biting hard.
“The immediate road ahead remains challenging, and while many are expecting a lacklustre budget later this month, the hope is that the chancellor will make further commitments in terms of infrastructure investment and moves toward a more settled fiscal environment. With housebuilding in need of a boost, reforms such as abolishing stamp duty would also provide a shot in the arm for the sector.”